Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.058839 0.066740 0.074826 0.083689 0.093099 0.102766 0.113417
2025-08-31 0.044028 0.055287 0.067408 0.081286 0.096602 0.112872 0.131350
2025-09-07 0.036081 0.049424 0.064398 0.082123 0.102241 0.124112 0.149447
2025-09-14 0.030775 0.045592 0.062834 0.083811 0.108147 0.135071 0.166716
2025-09-21 0.027638 0.043811 0.063209 0.087333 0.115798 0.147704 0.185607
2025-09-28 0.023941 0.040847 0.061785 0.088407 0.120344 0.156593 0.200086
2025-10-05 0.023581 0.042067 0.065397 0.095439 0.131813 0.173381 0.223525
2025-10-12 0.019944 0.038518 0.062740 0.094600 0.133762 0.179010 0.234063
2025-10-19 0.017792 0.036772 0.062209 0.096235 0.138552 0.187859 0.248235
2025-10-26 0.015485 0.034547 0.060864 0.096700 0.141808 0.194815 0.260138
2025-11-02 0.013799 0.033057 0.060369 0.098143 0.146181 0.203032 0.273468
2025-11-09 0.011848 0.030922 0.058834 0.098117 0.148641 0.208896 0.283975
2025-11-16 0.009110 0.027221 0.055008 0.095108 0.147501 0.210648 0.289941
2025-11-23 0.006921 0.024079 0.051763 0.092726 0.147069 0.213226 0.296898
2025-11-30 0.005796 0.022705 0.051019 0.093656 0.150810 0.220856 0.309871
2025-12-07 0.004995 0.021832 0.050958 0.095473 0.155660 0.229828 0.324444
2025-12-14 0.004653 0.021878 0.052311 0.099255 0.163063 0.241956 0.342836
2025-12-21 0.003891 0.020827 0.051837 0.100407 0.166991 0.249760 0.355991
2025-12-28 0.004248 0.022497 0.055815 0.107940 0.179349 0.268077 0.381926
2026-01-04 0.003261 0.020664 0.053956 0.107042 0.180536 0.272449 0.390914
2026-01-11 0.002776 0.019987 0.053958 0.108791 0.185206 0.281159 0.405172
2026-01-18 0.002200 0.018874 0.053138 0.109289 0.188173 0.287710 0.416784
2026-01-25 0.001817 0.018212 0.053049 0.110831 0.192522 0.295989 0.430505